Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Nao Hibino vs Janice Tjen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc93c26d065e9d779292901ffa09d057401d9c99167e140f9ce0d4c74dd7c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Janice Tjenof Nao Hibino, Janice Tjen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Janice Tjen | 67c | 4,924$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nao Hibino | 9c | 3,763$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nao Hibino | 22c | 3,470$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.71 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Janice Tjen | 75c | 2,970$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.52 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Nao Hibino | 21c | 2,700$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.84 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Nao Hibino | 13c | 2,297$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nao Hibino | 12c | 2,042$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Nao Hibino | 15c | 2,007$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Janice Tjen | 73c | 1,767$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nao Hibino | 29c | 1,143$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 1,131$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.16 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Janice Tjen | 68c | 1,026$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nao Hibino | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nao Hibino | 19c | 896.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Nao Hibino | 18c | 724.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Nao Hibino | 14c | 690.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Janice Tjen | 67c | 588.24$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Nao Hibino | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nao Hibino | 22c | 551.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Janice Tjen | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 433$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked Nao Hibino | 4c | 353.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nao Hibino | 34c | 343$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nao Hibino | 14c | 336.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Nao Hibino | 30c | 333.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nao Hibino | 20c | 296.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nao Hibino | 22c | 270.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Janice Tjen | 71c | 269.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nao Hibino | 12c | 243.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Nao Hibino | 19c | 236.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 235.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 232.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Nao Hibino | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Janice Tjen | 66c | 184.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nao Hibino | 20c | 184.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Nao Hibino | 33c | 149.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Janice Tjen | 68c | 146.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Nao Hibino | 12c | 132.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nao Hibino | 16c | 116.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Janice Tjen | 70c | 115.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Nao Hibino | 12c | 114.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Nao Hibino | 13c | 113.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Janice Tjen | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Nao Hibino | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 95.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nao Hibino | 31c | 92.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nao Hibino | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 89.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Janice Tjen | 75c | 68.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Nao Hibino | 24c | 67.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Nao Hibino | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Janice Tjen | 67c | 58.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Nao Hibino | 37c | 51.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Nao Hibino | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nao Hibino | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Janice Tjen | 67c | 44.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Janice Tjen | 71c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…d56abacked Janice Tjen | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e1…74a7backed Janice Tjen | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Janice Tjen | 67c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Janice Tjen | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Nao Hibino | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…bdbabacked Janice Tjen | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed Janice Tjen | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Janice Tjen | 77c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.