TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf390…bdba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2781.5%22 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham 2: Roman Safiullin vs August Holmgrenbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Figueira Da Foz: Kristina Mladenovic vs Valentina Ryserbacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobobacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.18
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieribacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.33
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi Youbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.75
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garlandbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Birmingham: Nao Hibino vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Foggia: Andreea Prisacariu vs Nika Radisicbacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnetbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$14.56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Paris: Yulia Putintseva vs Veronika Podrezbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$9.16
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankinabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$8.73
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.