Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290b7265d09f256f6d121ccd17f247ea330ad50a0d9f01491f9237629218f4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Warwickshire | 21c | 13,330$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.13 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nottinghamshire | 79c | 4,731$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.1 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Warwickshire | 35c | 1,633$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Warwickshire | 30c | 1,452$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 27c | 1,286$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.22 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Warwickshire | 59c | 987.15$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.09 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warwickshire | 10c | 902.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Nottinghamshire | 52c | 646.11$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Warwickshire | 26c | 642.51$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 633.11$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 39c | 563.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Warwickshire | 35c | 491.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warwickshire | 31c | 464.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 433.8$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Warwickshire | 18c | 383.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 344.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Nottinghamshire | 80c | 343.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nottinghamshire | 73c | 280.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Warwickshire | 25c | 232.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Nottinghamshire | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Warwickshire | 18c | 222.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked Warwickshire | 45c | 219.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 22c | 201.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Warwickshire | 42c | 186.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nottinghamshire | 50c | 180.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottinghamshire | 79c | 167.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Warwickshire | 32c | 167.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warwickshire | 23c | 138.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 111.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Warwickshire | 48c | 104.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…e6eebacked Warwickshire | 58c | 103.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Nottinghamshire | 58c | 102.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Nottinghamshire | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…9575backed Nottinghamshire | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nottinghamshire | 71c | 99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nottinghamshire | 73c | 81.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Nottinghamshire | 44c | 81.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Warwickshire | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nottinghamshire | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Warwickshire | 16c | 76.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 53.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Warwickshire | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 48.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nottinghamshire | 76c | 44.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Warwickshire | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Warwickshire | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Warwickshire | 44c | 34.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…4c5bbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Warwickshire | 42c | 32.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nottinghamshire | 53c | 28.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…bdbabacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nottinghamshire | 72c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Nottinghamshire | 49c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…48ccbacked Warwickshire | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…23a3backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 74c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…dacfbacked Nottinghamshire | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Warwickshire | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Nottinghamshire | 63c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nottinghamshire | 77c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Nottinghamshire | 73c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshirethis page
- T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire - Who wins the toss?Nottinghamshire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.