TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darja Vidmanovaof Darja Vidmanova, Lucrezia Stefanini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Darja Vidmanova70c9,615$6,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.3193740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini8c5,751$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Lucrezia Stefanini44c4,745$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.1776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Lucrezia Stefanini44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32056757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Darja Vidmanova56c2,516$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.093647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lucrezia Stefanini18c1,477$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.861,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini45c899.98$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lucrezia Stefanini17c794.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.018,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…2208backed Lucrezia Stefanini14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Lucrezia Stefanini43c565.67$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.872,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Darja Vidmanova55c535$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.751,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Lucrezia Stefanini47c505.31$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0820535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d8…f8fabacked Darja Vidmanova73c504.11$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.112850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Lucrezia Stefanini45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini45c490.76$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.444,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Lucrezia Stefanini28c483.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.411,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lucrezia Stefanini6c445.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lucrezia Stefanini26c384.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Darja Vidmanova63c366.24$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.394,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Lucrezia Stefanini16c357.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.952,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf0…4972backed Lucrezia Stefanini41c326.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.055048%24 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Darja Vidmanova54c325.22$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.61,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lucrezia Stefanini46c324.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.321,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Darja Vidmanova55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.736453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Darja Vidmanova56c234$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Darja Vidmanova52c207.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4256651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbc…24babacked Darja Vidmanova61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Darja Vidmanova56c195$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.81,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Lucrezia Stefanini15c191.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Darja Vidmanova59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4422235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Darja Vidmanova57c177.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.747854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Darja Vidmanova57c173.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9858045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Darja Vidmanova60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Darja Vidmanova57c149.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.833,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Lucrezia Stefanini18c134.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.721,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Lucrezia Stefanini8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darja Vidmanova79c119.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lucrezia Stefanini29c116.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lucrezia Stefanini28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lucrezia Stefanini28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Lucrezia Stefanini29c105.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Darja Vidmanova58c103.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.547636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Darja Vidmanova58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4225257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc44…3a2fbacked Darja Vidmanova55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Darja Vidmanova55c89.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.181,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Lucrezia Stefanini44c88.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darja Vidmanova53c82.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.868,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Lucrezia Stefanini45c80.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3439443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucrezia Stefanini22c76.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.93,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Lucrezia Stefanini33c75.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9323842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Darja Vidmanova79c74.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.564,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8b…ee90backed Lucrezia Stefanini43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini28c64.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4662727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucrezia Stefanini20c62.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Darja Vidmanova54c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Darja Vidmanova55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5567852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Darja Vidmanova57c54.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Darja Vidmanova58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Darja Vidmanova54c51.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2351644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf390…bdbabacked Darja Vidmanova64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882781.5%22 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Lucrezia Stefanini42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3251339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Lucrezia Stefanini45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lucrezia Stefanini46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Darja Vidmanova57c43.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Darja Vidmanova69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.719754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2b…0be8backed Darja Vidmanova62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Darja Vidmanova54c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Lucrezia Stefanini45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Darja Vidmanova78c39.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.872,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Darja Vidmanova55c39.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b1…40b0backed Darja Vidmanova58c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Darja Vidmanova55c33.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.131,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Lucrezia Stefanini30c33.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Darja Vidmanova61c32.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8729352.2%153 W · 140 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Darja Vidmanova64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7549658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lucrezia Stefanini42c29.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Lucrezia Stefanini39c27.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8783047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Lucrezia Stefanini46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a68…053cbacked Darja Vidmanova58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Darja Vidmanova58c22.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4217656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Darja Vidmanova55c22.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9931347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773e…7502backed Darja Vidmanova80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.