Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Kristina Mladenovic vs Valentina Ryser
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7f2fce7afa89f452f44041e64878fd5d9e498bc42afac061145609beaad9d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Ryserof Kristina Mladenovic, Valentina Ryser
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Valentina Ryser | 78c | 11,733$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.48 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 6,419$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kristina Mladenovic | 32c | 1,878$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 20c | 1,380$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentina Ryser | 68c | 987$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kristina Mladenovic | 15c | 462.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristina Mladenovic | 4c | 358.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kristina Mladenovic | 16c | 353.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 310.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Valentina Ryser | 69c | 285.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kristina Mladenovic | 31c | 182.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 29c | 96.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 91.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 20c | 90.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kristina Mladenovic | 23c | 64.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kristina Mladenovic | 32c | 60.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentina Ryser | 78c | 58.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Valentina Ryser | 68c | 56.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kristina Mladenovic | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…bdbabacked Valentina Ryser | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Valentina Ryser | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Kristina Mladenovic | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Valentina Ryser | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Valentina Ryser | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…0865backed Valentina Ryser | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Valentina Ryser | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.