TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CYBERSHOKE Esportsof SPARTA, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports57c28,598$16,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,174.065,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked SPARTA43c25,134$10,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,893.6675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports62c3,252$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.415749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Esports56c3,187$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.72,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked SPARTA44c2,621$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.816040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed SPARTA43c2,180$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.1460848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed SPARTA38c1,808$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.921,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c1,234$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.572,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked SPARTA39c1,215$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4749753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SPARTA6c1,083$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.211,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports61c699.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27342050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc8…09e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports61c650.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed SPARTA39c625.92$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked SPARTA40c621.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports62c607.23$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9415743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SPARTA5c602$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed CYBERSHOKE Esports77c521.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6531761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19520750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed SPARTA43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA5c490.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.454,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed CYBERSHOKE Esports61c399.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15626155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed SPARTA44c368.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8365946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked SPARTA42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8722751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked SPARTA38c311.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11946447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab3…c3eabacked SPARTA39c297.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked SPARTA39c282.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked SPARTA39c280.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA6c276.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c270$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.25347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA22c265.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.482,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports60c264.43$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2214949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA32c254.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.684,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed CYBERSHOKE Esports60c249.82$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5712049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c249.27$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6737855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA8c247.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.444,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SPARTA20c245.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.761,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c243.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0474054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed SPARTA11c242.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9610650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed SPARTA39c239.21$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.061,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed SPARTA39c213.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.214738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports58c201.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4674653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed SPARTA25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports61c162.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.96567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA42c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.482,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.536057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed SPARTA40c145.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.74841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed SPARTA39c141.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0333448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed SPARTA39c126$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1410248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed SPARTA40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c110.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3419052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed SPARTA39c102$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed SPARTA40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2316346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed SPARTA38c99.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9837050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports58c98.87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.879445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c91.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports63c85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports78c81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.822,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports72c79.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked SPARTA42c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.365548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked SPARTA45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed SPARTA39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.315954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6850056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked SPARTA43c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6727746.2%128 W · 149 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c54.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5432649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2318233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c49.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7859049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c48.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.923860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports62c47.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0315751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed SPARTA44c44.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked SPARTA40c44.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c42.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.530545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed CYBERSHOKE Esports60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked SPARTA40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.235131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf390…bdbabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee65…5067backed SPARTA28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1919849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed CYBERSHOKE Esports62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2623654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7512564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e55…ec55backed SPARTA39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.920067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3867750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0434147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c23.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.096055%33 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c20.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8312351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d9…988bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.