UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae768e18d0b06dbbe09e3052a6cdfd42110a03debce3b6142d57402c447707ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louie Sutherlandof Tai Tuivasa, Louie Sutherland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Louie Sutherland | 31c | 18,525$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,782.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 12,900$8,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Louie Sutherland | 31c | 11,092$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.54 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 10,585$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.62 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Louie Sutherland | 54c | 10,444$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 9,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Louie Sutherland | 31c | 5,800$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.94 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 5,002$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tai Tuivasa | 34c | 4,113$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.03 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Tai Tuivasa | 73c | 4,101$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Tai Tuivasa | 46c | 3,505$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Tai Tuivasa | 47c | 3,012$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.22 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Louie Sutherland | 32c | 2,598$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Tai Tuivasa | 1c | 2,505$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Tai Tuivasa | 1c | 2,405$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Louie Sutherland | 33c | 2,150$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.46 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Louie Sutherland | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Tai Tuivasa | 3c | 1,936$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Tai Tuivasa | 15c | 1,779$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tai Tuivasa | 66c | 1,770$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.49 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Louie Sutherland | 41c | 1,558$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.94 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Louie Sutherland | 58c | 1,423$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tai Tuivasa | 68c | 1,397$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.65 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Tai Tuivasa | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Louie Sutherland | 35c | 1,277$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.96 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Louie Sutherland | 36c | 1,276$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…f230backed Tai Tuivasa | 15c | 1,222$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Louie Sutherland | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.7 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Louie Sutherland | 51c | 1,191$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Tai Tuivasa | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Tai Tuivasa | 23c | 1,009$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.21 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Louie Sutherland | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Louie Sutherland | 36c | 992.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Tai Tuivasa | 62c | 957.15$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Tai Tuivasa | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Tai Tuivasa | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Louie Sutherland | 32c | 799.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.96 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Louie Sutherland | 54c | 738.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.37 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Tai Tuivasa | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Louie Sutherland | 36c | 725.85$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Tai Tuivasa | 68c | 725$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tai Tuivasa | 24c | 682.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Tai Tuivasa | 64c | 680.92$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Louie Sutherland | 29c | 675.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Tai Tuivasa | 74c | 668.32$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.13 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Louie Sutherland | 32c | 649.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tai Tuivasa | 63c | 627.44$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.28 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Louie Sutherland | 38c | 616.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Tai Tuivasa | 18c | 567.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louie Sutherland | 30c | 552$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.23 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tai Tuivasa | 15c | 524$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tai Tuivasa | 23c | 518.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Louie Sutherland | 46c | 508.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Louie Sutherland | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Tai Tuivasa | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tai Tuivasa | 67c | 499.95$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…7615backed Louie Sutherland | 55c | 470.54$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Louie Sutherland | 33c | 450.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.37 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tai Tuivasa | 68c | 420.59$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…a365backed Louie Sutherland | 37c | 418.18$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Louie Sutherland | 33c | 413.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Tai Tuivasa | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tai Tuivasa | 65c | 378.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Tai Tuivasa | 67c | 370.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Louie Sutherland | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…79b9backed Tai Tuivasa | 64c | 358.03$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Tai Tuivasa | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Tai Tuivasa | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Tai Tuivasa | 58c | 309$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…bec2backed Tai Tuivasa | 66c | 301.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 300.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Louie Sutherland | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tai Tuivasa | 66c | 298.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 297.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Louie Sutherland | 80c | 277.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Tai Tuivasa | 67c | 277.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Louie Sutherland | 38c | 270.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…e99bbacked Louie Sutherland | 33c | 270.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Louie Sutherland | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Louie Sutherland | 66c | 269.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Louie Sutherland | 36c | 254.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Louie Sutherland | 32c | 249.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tai Tuivasa | 63c | 248.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Louie Sutherland | 32c | 247.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…f2edbacked Louie Sutherland | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Tai Tuivasa | 4c | 245$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…9a1bbacked Tai Tuivasa | 58c | 241.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Tai Tuivasa | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Tai Tuivasa | 67c | 211.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 205.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.86 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Tai Tuivasa | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…9febbacked Tai Tuivasa | 32c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Tai Tuivasa | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Tai Tuivasa | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Louie Sutherland | 32c | 187.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.