UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03c771854b12bc588ca54e01ac226924af8a63f8f484f1fe11bcafae11f622d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alonzo Menifieldof Alonzo Menifield, Zhang Mingyang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 20,000$13,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Zhang Mingyang | 72c | 10,259$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Zhang Mingyang | 0c | 10,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alonzo Menifield | 29c | 8,854$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.34 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Zhang Mingyang | 70c | 7,157$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 5,659$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.49 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 5,355$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.96 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Zhang Mingyang | 51c | 3,914$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 3,771$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.79 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 3,650$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Alonzo Menifield | 29c | 3,002$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Zhang Mingyang | 58c | 2,481$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.87 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Alonzo Menifield | 59c | 2,368$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.83 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 2,261$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.04 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 2,232$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 2,160$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 2,150$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 2,141$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.55 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 2,045$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 2,013$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.8 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.48 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alonzo Menifield | 48c | 1,832$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.33 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Zhang Mingyang | 68c | 1,819$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.15 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 1,783$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.33 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Zhang Mingyang | 4c | 1,606$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 1,605$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.45 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 1,570$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 1,525$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Zhang Mingyang | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 1,488$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.57 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 1,450$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.47 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…1d41backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zhang Mingyang | 7c | 1,321$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 1,314$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6575backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 1,233$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alonzo Menifield | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Zhang Mingyang | 68c | 999.98$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 984.38$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.38 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 968.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 959.63$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…d2bdbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 887.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb33d…28c3backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 859.2$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 820.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 718.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Zhang Mingyang | 70c | 710$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Alonzo Menifield | 37c | 678.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 669.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.99 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 660.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 660.09$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Alonzo Menifield | 46c | 652.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 609.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 595.43$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.85 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alonzo Menifield | 34c | 572.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Zhang Mingyang | 68c | 548.22$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.79 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Zhang Mingyang | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Zhang Mingyang | 64c | 491$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 488.36$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zhang Mingyang | 38c | 482.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 481.16$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 475$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 464.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 459.04$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 450$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Zhang Mingyang | 70c | 430.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed Zhang Mingyang | 67c | 414.61$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alonzo Menifield | 39c | 405.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Alonzo Menifield | 41c | 402.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.67 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…da04backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 395.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 389.86$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 377.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…7497backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 375$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 374.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Alonzo Menifield | 35c | 367.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.61 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…b60dbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 349.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…a677backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 343.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Zhang Mingyang | 70c | 327.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…4d1ebacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 313$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…714abacked Alonzo Menifield | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Alonzo Menifield | 31c | 299.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alonzo Menifield | 30c | 294.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Zhang Mingyang | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.