TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otto Virtanenof Filippo Romano, Otto Virtanen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Filippo Romano7c14,010$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.896,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Filippo Romano18c13,150$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.9139243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Filippo Romano7c11,973$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.834,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Filippo Romano14c11,685$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.958,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b1…4e80backed Filippo Romano4c5,600$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Filippo Romano2c5,429$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.372,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Filippo Romano5c4,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Filippo Romano20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70031736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Otto Virtanen79c2,202$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.323,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Filippo Romano16c2,078$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32570041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Filippo Romano20c2,033$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1833438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Filippo Romano6c2,007$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.382,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Filippo Romano13c1,436$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6742125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Filippo Romano7c1,286$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.022,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Filippo Romano9c1,280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.415,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Filippo Romano8c1,168$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8357321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Filippo Romano21c1,004$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.841,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Filippo Romano22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Otto Virtanen79c943$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.033964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Filippo Romano26c800$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.823429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Otto Virtanen78c704.14$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9129952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Otto Virtanen79c665$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.657,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…571abacked Filippo Romano8c573$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.02425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Filippo Romano3c571.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Otto Virtanen79c451$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7199249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Filippo Romano20c410.41$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0857842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Filippo Romano6c410.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Otto Virtanen79c317.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Otto Virtanen78c315.65$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…673dbacked Filippo Romano13c299.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Otto Virtanen79c271.31$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.982,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Otto Virtanen74c261.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Filippo Romano20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Otto Virtanen80c246.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf4…15a4backed Filippo Romano13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Otto Virtanen78c217.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Filippo Romano5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Otto Virtanen75c190.36$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5937944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06a…ca30backed Filippo Romano25c190.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.595032%16 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Filippo Romano9c182.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eac…9b93backed Filippo Romano7c164.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118331.3%26 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Filippo Romano22c153.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.158118.5%15 W · 66 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Otto Virtanen79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.515966%105 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Otto Virtanen79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.557953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Filippo Romano21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.527530.2%83 W · 192 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Filippo Romano22c143.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.812,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Otto Virtanen80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Otto Virtanen77c127.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4489364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Filippo Romano11c122.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312326.8%33 W · 90 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Otto Virtanen74c121.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.572,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Filippo Romano13c116.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Filippo Romano13c111.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Otto Virtanen79c106.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2858745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Filippo Romano21c100.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0710232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Otto Virtanen75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3350…9588backed Otto Virtanen80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked Filippo Romano19c99.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Filippo Romano21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filippo Romano19c82.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Otto Virtanen74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Otto Virtanen74c64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.647,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Filippo Romano22c56.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea5…04f6backed Filippo Romano20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Otto Virtanen79c54.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fde…1098backed Filippo Romano21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Otto Virtanen74c50.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2217656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf2…d272backed Filippo Romano20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010335%36 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf390…bdbabacked Otto Virtanen80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752781.5%22 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Otto Virtanen80c36.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3718038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Otto Virtanen77c33.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.789859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Otto Virtanen78c31.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9258665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Otto Virtanen79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5125858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9d…3d93backed Otto Virtanen77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb988…1ac5backed Otto Virtanen80c22.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Otto Virtanen80c22.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.413661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…9d0fbacked Otto Virtanen80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Otto Virtanen79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.293557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9f15backed Otto Virtanen80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28a…9317backed Otto Virtanen77c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.715261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Otto Virtanen80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…868dbacked Otto Virtanen80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ee…b02ebacked Otto Virtanen80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Otto Virtanen80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.512162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14b4…4beabacked Otto Virtanen80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.