TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ea5…04f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Federica Urgesibacked Federica Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henningbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcanbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanenbacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Birmingham: Alex Bolt vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymerbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Centurion 2: Alec Beckley vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alec Beckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajdabacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.54
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$28.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.