Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Federica Urgesi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8017c0f1622065b16bf90cc25832f6396df062530c22493ceb04cde60e5b3c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tamara Zidansekof Tamara Zidansek, Federica Urgesi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tamara Zidansek | 65c | 10,393$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tamara Zidansek | 66c | 10,014$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.01 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Urgesi | 23c | 9,949$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federica Urgesi | 31c | 9,248$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.89 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tamara Zidansek | 70c | 5,031$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Federica Urgesi | 37c | 3,228$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.18 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Federica Urgesi | 35c | 2,864$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federica Urgesi | 30c | 2,700$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Federica Urgesi | 1c | 2,228$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Federica Urgesi | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Tamara Zidansek | 65c | 1,435$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Federica Urgesi | 35c | 1,359$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.09 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Tamara Zidansek | 72c | 1,088$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.83 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Federica Urgesi | 33c | 934.11$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tamara Zidansek | 61c | 791.52$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tamara Zidansek | 73c | 608.28$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tamara Zidansek | 65c | 606.04$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Federica Urgesi | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Tamara Zidansek | 70c | 460.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Federica Urgesi | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Federica Urgesi | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Tamara Zidansek | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Federica Urgesi | 35c | 207.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federica Urgesi | 32c | 174.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…687ebacked Federica Urgesi | 12c | 166.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Federica Urgesi | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Federica Urgesi | 22c | 125.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Tamara Zidansek | 74c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Tamara Zidansek | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Federica Urgesi | 21c | 98.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…290abacked Federica Urgesi | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Federica Urgesi | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federica Urgesi | 33c | 66.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Tamara Zidansek | 54c | 59.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Tamara Zidansek | 74c | 57.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Federica Urgesi | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Tamara Zidansek | 68c | 54.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Federica Urgesi | 32c | 44.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Tamara Zidansek | 62c | 43.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…f303backed Federica Urgesi | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Federica Urgesi | 45c | 38.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Tamara Zidansek | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Federica Urgesi | 37c | 32.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Tamara Zidansek | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Tamara Zidansek | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Federica Urgesi | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tamara Zidansek | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea5…04f6backed Federica Urgesi | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tamara Zidansek | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Tamara Zidansek | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Tamara Zidansek | 72c | 23.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 388 | 60.6%235 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tamara Zidansek | 72c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Federica Urgesi | 49c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tamara Zidansek | 63c | 19.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tamara Zidansek | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tamara Zidansek | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…d48ebacked Tamara Zidansek | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.