MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0d74258c318d58579cffcbc1e9886790eeb0b837b0c208d6463bfc262d56f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $847,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 90,261$51,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,448.89 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 72,736$34,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,431.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 51,054$27,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,784.83 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 51,039$21,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,602.71 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 44,444$19,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,333.08 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals | 80c | 38,179$30,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,635.81 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 37,020$17,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,276.55 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,879.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 29,789$14,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,453.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 28,909$15,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,751.51 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 19,828$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 18,751$6,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 18,312$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,620.74 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 15,714$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 12,762$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.96 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 12,361$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.74 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 11,105$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 11,070$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 10,106$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 10,100$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,000$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.09 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 9,891$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 9,435$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.54 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 8,868$4,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 8,451$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 8,328$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 7,102$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.22 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 5,478$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.06 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 5,087$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.58 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,709$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.87 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,479$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,399$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,909$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,756$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.34 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,681$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.2 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,573$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,551$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.16 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.26 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,894$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.43 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,790$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,695$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.08 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,642$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 2,395$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.97 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,236$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.35 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,151$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,984$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.87 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,981$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,857$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,787$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.26 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,774$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,682$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.11 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,660$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.22 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 1,593$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.02 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 1,511$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,500$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 1,400$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.33 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,361$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.78 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,328$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.83 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,321$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.97 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…9b75backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,290$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,279$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.08 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,243$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,045$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,044$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…bc1abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,024$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,005$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 999.91$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 915.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.86 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 877.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.14 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 850.69$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…7d44backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 837.21$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…701dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 836.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 836$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 772.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.01 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 80c | 724.74$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 714.29$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.15 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 706.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.63 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 699.11$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b6…8cb0backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 691.45$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 677.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 646.87$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 599.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 579.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 570.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.93 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.