TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91fc…7d44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.58
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Andrey Chepelevbacked Andrey Chepelev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$87.81
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.5
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.98
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$278.53
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.72
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$302.41
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Edward Winterbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$174.87
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.31
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$23.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.29
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$447.05
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$66.44
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$181.88
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$54.16
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$180.3
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.96
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$105.12
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.04
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$57.68
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$12.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$76.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$90.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$592.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.