MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0334db3b06e46eac72846a1dec1f70089dcf8a47993506142a75ec935d40f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,273,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,278,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,273,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 816,657$347,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347,095.88 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 300,000$173,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 151,050$85,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,169.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 65,665$37,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,754.1 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,800 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…6382backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 53,027$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 45,000$26,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,449.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 42,420$23,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,808.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 34,371$19,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,483.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 31,681$18,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,622.77 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 28,488$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 27,648$15,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,834.41 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 25,502$14,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,770.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 17,841$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 16,568$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105.53 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 12,887$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 11,851$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.82 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,605$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.85 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,239$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.6 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 8,620$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.31 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,163$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 5,422$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,318$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.07 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 5,127$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.23 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 5,000$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 4,750$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 4,561$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,555$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.63 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 4,535$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,476$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 4,355$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,993$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,818$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.29 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 3,588$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.6 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,492$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 3,340$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 3,185$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,097$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.83 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 2,818$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.91 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.97 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,514$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,461$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,336$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,305$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.95 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,295$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.63 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,199$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.33 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,057$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,972$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.32 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,823$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,600$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,501$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.9 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +243%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,485$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.83 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,460$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,460$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…7d44backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 1,452$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,420$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.04 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,377$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,235$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,196$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.57 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…570ebacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 1,152$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,050$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,045$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.14 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,009$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,006$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…26d5backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 985$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.7 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 966.95$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 925.75$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.11 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 896.49$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 889.83$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 832.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 804.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 800$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e47…3475backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 798.92$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 781.81$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…e9fabacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 775.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 760.03$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 740.48$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 737.34$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.