TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c35,833$27,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,100.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c35,169$14,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,971.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No52c21,929$11,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,472.164250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes52c18,263$9,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.1914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c11,144$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No52c9,908$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.965024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes1c9,758$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4420333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes48c5,667$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.681,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes30c5,650$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.91926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes55c5,146$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.162,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No46c4,404$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No47c4,053$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.165242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c3,076$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes39c3,055$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.284858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,724$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.4174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes1c2,498$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8716040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Yes50c1,961$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.392665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.375362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes53c1,899$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No53c1,877$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.0147235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes52c1,862$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.157754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes53c1,857$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.563732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…61bebacked Yes35c1,830$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes45c1,828$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.8120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes35c1,742$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c1,498$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7492,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c1,301$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes51c1,288$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.822548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes51c1,224$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.242,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Yes9c1,190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes46c1,146$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.191450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes24c1,127$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1910942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes4c1,111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4422242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No48c1,091$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.0711544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No48c1,027$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.913643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No50c1,011$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No47c1,002$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53123949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes50c975.43$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7211648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No64c968.03$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4917569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76b…f8bcbacked Yes46c952.23$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.414245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…fa63backed Yes53c917.39$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c902.84$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No49c890.58$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5810863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23125954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No61c656$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.843666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No53c643.25$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3324950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes46c636.96$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Yes51c588.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0377…9b2cbacked Yes46c586.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No52c547.09$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.881,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No62c520.64$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes51c492.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c466.86$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.791,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No55c466.33$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7941451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c466.33$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes51c450.69$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c428.3$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes51c426.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.63520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes48c420.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes50c418.39$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c414.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes39c412.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1423345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No63c400.14$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c398.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.91,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Yes49c398.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0912154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c394.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes51c383.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.638838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Yes50c382.52$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Yes19c381.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes53c379.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9916152.2%84 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed No56c358.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.392227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked Yes49c347.67$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.364360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No53c339.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7423255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes38c313.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3757541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes47c306.06$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8531554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…8cc5backed Yes47c296.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5670%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf82…a88ebacked Yes36c295.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No54c294.74$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3665651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c290.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405a…c9febacked Yes49c287.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c284.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.112,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c284$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.962,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c282.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…d019backed Yes48c280.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.143528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf256…3767backed Yes34c280$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.43928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes48c276.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6751228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4c…865cbacked Yes46c271.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.