Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb550d3f581dc40e84432125dafbdde3fe0166c2094ec595b6e377fd8653d7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 6,273$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,466$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 3,874$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.75 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 26c | 1,738$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,351$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,270$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.01 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 29c | 606.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 32c | 586.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 28c | 553.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 27c | 535.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 517$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 26c | 496.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 75c | 455.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 74c | 444.08$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 444.08$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 75c | 374.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 347.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 18c | 311.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 68c | 306.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 303.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…eebebacked Yes | 7c | 293.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 72c | 282$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 264.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 9c | 246.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 231.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 196.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 182.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 27c | 158.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 134.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 28c | 131.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 72c | 113.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…1f52backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 76.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 71.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 61.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 53.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 71c | 51.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 68c | 50.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 48.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 30c | 46.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 70c | 46.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…a6a6backed Yes | 30c | 43.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 29c | 35.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 72c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 29.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 67c | 23.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?this page
- Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.