TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ed5…cc7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14.39
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$51
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$48
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$60.19
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.23
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.7
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.59
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22.79
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$33.43
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.52
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$19.12
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$49.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon vs. Marylandbacked Grand Canyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.