NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf54a2781c4e8756701bd0e32235b5b2e3b0b0e6416b98c5616b61b049b9d79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 49,360$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,734.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 12,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 11,439$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.25 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Celtics | 70c | 9,804$6,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 9,056$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.94 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 9,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 71c | 8,400$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.96 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Celtics | 71c | 7,873$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.04 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Celtics | 75c | 6,929$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.66 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 70c | 6,922$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 5,615$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.48 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Celtics | 74c | 3,314$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 2,798$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.36 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,141$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.36 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 2,084$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Celtics | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,997$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,981$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.04 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 70c | 1,786$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 72c | 1,744$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 75c | 1,708$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,701$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.22 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 71c | 1,682$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,603$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,592$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 72c | 1,288$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 72c | 1,241$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.77 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,103$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Celtics | 71c | 1,039$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Celtics | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 921.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 829.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 821.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 72c | 799.14$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 689.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 665$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Celtics | 72c | 489.1$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics | 70c | 487.45$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 470.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Celtics | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Celtics | 69c | 435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…fd2abacked Celtics | 75c | 417.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…6fffbacked Celtics | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 349.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 69c | 335.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Celtics | 71c | 332.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 328.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 324.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 316.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Celtics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Celtics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 289$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 78c | 277.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Celtics | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 252$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…06c7backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Celtics | 73c | 232.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 232.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…af99backed Celtics | 76c | 230.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 71c | 224$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Celtics | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 221.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Celtics | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Celtics | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 205.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Celtics | 73c | 197.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…3be4backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 185.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 179.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…dd43backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…320dbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 160.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Celtics | 78c | 160.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Celtics | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Celtics | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Celtics | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.