TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof 76ers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked 76ers17c17,143$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.874628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed 76ers17c17,044$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.168536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers1c13,909$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed 76ers17c7,100$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.979038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers16c6,502$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers19c6,050$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers2c5,292$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.858783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers18c5,113$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers4c3,000$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Thunder79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed 76ers5c2,250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked 76ers21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Thunder80c1,871$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.140627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers18c1,824$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed 76ers16c1,757$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.29836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…4adbbacked 76ers18c1,644$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers6c1,506$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.361,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder77c1,500$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked 76ers8c1,341$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10629450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked 76ers17c1,200$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20845743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers19c1,200$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe344…90d0backed Thunder80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf78f…595fbacked 76ers20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked 76ers2c1,078$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers4c1,050$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Thunder80c1,039$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.86346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked 76ers19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…532abacked 76ers16c999.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed 76ers18c950.74$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1313929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked 76ers19c885.65$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.274330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed 76ers16c626.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers27c617.66$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed 76ers19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed 76ers19c550$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked 76ers6c542.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25048%24 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 76ers16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Thunder79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked 76ers16c499.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9917335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked 76ers18c388.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480c…81f2backed Thunder80c345.95$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed 76ers17c318$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0671823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x526d…73f1backed 76ers17c311.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5313844.9%62 W · 76 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Thunder79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Thunder79c299.8$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504918.4%9 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Thunder80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed 76ers17c235.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.044040%16 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…9fffbacked 76ers17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab11…1350backed 76ers17c229.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914642.5%62 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed 76ers9c227.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.946021.7%13 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…5f70backed 76ers5c187.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd090…bb53backed 76ers16c176.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed 76ers17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013243.9%58 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14f…00ffbacked 76ers17c158.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea17…4652backed 76ers16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed 76ers17c152.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Thunder80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef8…c573backed 76ers17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512638.9%49 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Thunder80c142$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a2…fadfbacked 76ers17c141.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…ca79backed 76ers12c139.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed 76ers8c135.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.185339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c6…33e3backed 76ers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed 76ers8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa155…9517backed 76ers18c122$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+69.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…dbf2backed 76ers16c120.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked 76ers19c117.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3933348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9bd…68bebacked 76ers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014849.3%73 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…1d32backed 76ers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207143.7%31 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6a…0b1fbacked 76ers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked 76ers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed 76ers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7b…79a9backed 76ers13c104$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked 76ers12c103$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3626040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6bfcbacked 76ers18c103$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…e5a9backed 76ers17c101.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.284443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d1…b694backed 76ers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed 76ers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked 76ers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…bfdabacked Thunder80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f94…9a4abacked 76ers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e97…d3b6backed 76ers16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…2df8backed 76ers17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5354…9c15backed 76ers16c84.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed 76ers18c84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0822733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd97e…a81ebacked 76ers17c77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.095246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe225…0644backed 76ers17c76.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked 76ers19c73.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c86…0ae2backed 76ers17c70.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212039.2%47 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers16c68.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9426933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac44…2468backed 76ers17c66.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.354250%21 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Thunder80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.