TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37a2…fadf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT13148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$4.02
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$28.13
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.14
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.97
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.17
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Royals vs. White Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Eva Lysbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$24.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.