Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Victoria Mboko vs Eva Lys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66463aa8fca6b1d119cb95d50299ca33fa8c575a4d5314c9f30e9879771a640e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Mboko, Lys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c20…bafdbacked Mboko | 48c | 9,999$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…9367backed Lys | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Mboko | 71c | 3,716$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lys | 24c | 3,422$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.37 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lys | 32c | 2,511$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Mboko | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Lys | 56c | 1,249$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Mboko | 46c | 839.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.13 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lys | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lys | 57c | 581$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Mboko | 45c | 576.09$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lys | 52c | 501.92$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Mboko | 56c | 437.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lys | 9c | 424.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mboko | 46c | 377.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mboko | 43c | 352.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lys | 53c | 329.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lys | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Mboko | 80c | 283.47$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lys | 53c | 282.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Lys | 55c | 218$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Mboko | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mboko | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked Mboko | 79c | 207$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Lys | 31c | 173.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lys | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lys | 16c | 143.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lys | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lys | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Lys | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lys | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lys | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Lys | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…fadfbacked Mboko | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Mboko | 46c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Mboko | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Lys | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…17f1backed Lys | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Lys | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Lys | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lys | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Mboko | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.