TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Royals, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox48c13,137$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.1738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Royals52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8007659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals52c5,119$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.372,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox48c3,225$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.0444456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox47c2,708$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.6843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals54c2,532$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1761,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed White Sox48c1,677$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9140152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed White Sox60c1,630$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed White Sox37c1,475$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Royals28c1,421$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.0831248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Royals52c1,349$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.5339041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals54c1,164$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.281,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox76c880.03$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Royals24c840.2$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.451,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox49c803.36$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b5…41b3backed Royals7c732.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.586131.1%19 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals25c689.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.124,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Royals38c650.05$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Royals52c509$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5717354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed White Sox65c492.38$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.91,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox45c483.59$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Royals6c389.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Royals12c387$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0610713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox47c317.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox46c299.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Royals35c287.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7656440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Royals55c273.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox48c271$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.081,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox6c263.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.629,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked Royals11c261$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox47c238.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.311,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Royals72c238.32$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.712,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox47c225.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Royals9c211.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.351,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Royals51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked White Sox47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9415543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Royals64c199.89$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8912355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox18c194.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8570841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Royals52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Royals52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Royals52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Royals52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals55c183.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.372,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox48c183.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8846631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Royals28c177.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6254441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed White Sox75c165.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7819452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed White Sox7c145.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.155852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Royals49c135.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3916148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked White Sox76c133$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4725364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Royals55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Royals52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7716659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals40c100.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaade…71f1backed White Sox50c100.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Royals36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6445732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed White Sox49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79e7…40febacked Royals54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f8…3ebfbacked Royals54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1595…7a37backed White Sox47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa709…24eabacked White Sox47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Royals52c89.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.98652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed White Sox49c81.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57e…95f3backed White Sox71c70.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507365.8%48 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.925155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed White Sox74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7760052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.342,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Royals29c65.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Royals46c63.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.666657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Royals30c54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.830740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed White Sox50c50.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0828053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0440144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8840…c464backed Royals52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Royals51c44.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox46c43.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…c816backed Royals52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox62c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Royals53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Royals38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.816140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked White Sox47c39.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7526845.5%122 W · 146 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Royals52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…e8e4backed Royals52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3d…541dbacked Royals52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Royals52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be9…8cd1backed Royals52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7207…b2b8backed White Sox61c35.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…c0edbacked Royals51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1933750.4%170 W · 167 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked White Sox48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfe…a741backed Royals51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad5…8328backed Royals52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Royals52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Royals50c28.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2924040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa6…7721backed Royals51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a2…fadfbacked Royals52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9062…8b75backed Royals52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.