MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acc954d5cd8fde1cfc9b5ab5b4b42839d297bcad3dd5fb047b6eeb462aaaa4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox | 48c | 13,137$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.17 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Royals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 52c | 5,119$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox | 48c | 3,225$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.04 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 47c | 2,708$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 54c | 2,532$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed White Sox | 48c | 1,677$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.91 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed White Sox | 60c | 1,630$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed White Sox | 37c | 1,475$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.38 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 28c | 1,421$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.08 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 52c | 1,349$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.53 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 54c | 1,164$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.84 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 76c | 880.03$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 24c | 840.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 49c | 803.36$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Royals | 7c | 732.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.58 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 25c | 689.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 38c | 650.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.65 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Royals | 52c | 509$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed White Sox | 65c | 492.38$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 45c | 483.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 6c | 389.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.48 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Royals | 12c | 387$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed White Sox | 47c | 317.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Royals | 35c | 287.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Royals | 55c | 273.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 48c | 271$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 6c | 263.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Royals | 11c | 261$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 47c | 238.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 72c | 238.32$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed White Sox | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 9c | 211.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Royals | 64c | 199.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 18c | 194.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 55c | 183.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Royals | 28c | 177.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed White Sox | 75c | 165.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed White Sox | 7c | 145.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Royals | 49c | 135.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked White Sox | 76c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Royals | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed White Sox | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed White Sox | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…40febacked Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…3ebfbacked Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1595…7a37backed White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…24eabacked White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Royals | 52c | 89.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed White Sox | 49c | 81.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed White Sox | 71c | 70.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 29c | 65.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Royals | 46c | 63.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Royals | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…c464backed Royals | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Royals | 51c | 44.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 46c | 43.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Royals | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Royals | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Royals | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked White Sox | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Royals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…e8e4backed Royals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Royals | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Royals | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Royals | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…b2b8backed White Sox | 61c | 35.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Royals | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked White Sox | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Royals | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8328backed Royals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Royals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Royals | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed Royals | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…fadfbacked Royals | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…8b75backed Royals | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. White Soxthis page
- Royals vs. White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Royals (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.