MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eec3ab5527df79c2b35f52fbc54cbed7db4408cbee373bf9f2e3fba97c4bfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked White Sox | 44c | 5,022$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 30c | 4,299$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.23 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 39c | 4,039$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.65 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Orioles | 56c | 3,905$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Orioles | 52c | 3,859$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed White Sox | 44c | 2,532$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Orioles | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,965$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.12 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed White Sox | 45c | 1,896$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 43c | 1,550$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 56c | 1,323$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.11 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 50c | 1,129$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Orioles | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked White Sox | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 43c | 999.87$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 43c | 969.63$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed White Sox | 44c | 966.21$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.13 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 19c | 939.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 44c | 909$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 56c | 809$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked White Sox | 45c | 770.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked White Sox | 45c | 760$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 51c | 740.8$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked White Sox | 57c | 704.46$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.55 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 56c | 620.55$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 55c | 601.02$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.59 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Orioles | 57c | 587.72$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 55c | 564.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 51c | 532$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Orioles | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Orioles | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Orioles | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Orioles | 55c | 436.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Orioles | 68c | 369.92$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Orioles | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Orioles | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 53c | 336.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 48c | 299.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 54c | 254.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Orioles | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Orioles | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Orioles | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Orioles | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Orioles | 55c | 223.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox | 50c | 214$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Orioles | 58c | 212.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…dcbfbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…89a6backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…66e5backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6f…4119backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…feaebacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…01a2backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…854bbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc4…5250backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. White Soxthis page
- Orioles vs. White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Orioles (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.