MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4cc06ea46b2609f432e20a345cdad3b9188a984af4f8a29b41fd5ade3184400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 48c | 478,480$227,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,594.4 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Athletics | 52c | 339,384$178,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,123.6 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Athletics | 52c | 28,316$14,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,724.16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Athletics | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Royals | 47c | 17,777$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,421.81 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 52c | 15,541$8,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,081.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Athletics | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Royals | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Royals | 47c | 11,916$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.27 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 53c | 11,916$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,315.27 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Athletics | 54c | 11,375$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Royals | 46c | 10,789$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 17c | 10,405$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 17c | 7,939$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Athletics | 8c | 6,311$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 48c | 5,206$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.33 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 19c | 4,343$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.22 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Athletics | 38c | 4,000$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 53c | 3,785$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 67c | 3,425$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Athletics | 1c | 3,267$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 19c | 3,247$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,818$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.54 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 48c | 1,619$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.75 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 31c | 1,559$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Athletics | 34c | 1,489$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 76c | 1,334$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Royals | 57c | 1,310$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Royals | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 52c | 1,095$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.39 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 77c | 1,094$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Athletics | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Royals | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…2f02backed Athletics | 53c | 960$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Royals | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 48c | 630.42$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.91 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 51c | 609.67$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 46c | 580.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.56 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 43c | 533.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 28c | 403.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Athletics | 30c | 390.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Royals | 78c | 382.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Athletics | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Royals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…869abacked Royals | 48c | 335$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…fa17backed Royals | 48c | 322$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ab…cf31backed Royals | 48c | 316$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Athletics | 17c | 275.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Athletics | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 19c | 225.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Royals | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Royals | 69c | 189.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 26c | 181.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Royals | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Royals | 61c | 163.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Athletics | 53c | 163.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals | 75c | 160$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 33c | 159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Athletics | 15c | 135.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078a…ca98backed Royals | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Athletics | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Athletics | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Athletics | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…0febbacked Athletics | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 47c | 106.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Athletics | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…826abacked Athletics | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Athletics | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 45c | 95.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…3251backed Athletics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Athletics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Athletics | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Royals | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 46c | 83.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Royals | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Royals | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…1b9ebacked Athletics | 54c | 74.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e6…8f44backed Royals | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.