TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5747…120a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.26
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.98
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.9
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.6
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+128.2%+$129.2
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$47.3
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+300%+$66.71
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.68
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$63.8
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$65.16
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.8
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.5
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$114.75
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$105.36
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.5
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$73.26
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$52.8
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$109.31
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.43
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.3
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$78
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$88.2
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$130.01
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.7
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.4
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$33.6
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$19.08
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+115.4%+$101.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.