MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd74255ffe6a1229a422a53fca888018d5b490f1cea36b91c0e61a0eb46dfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cubs, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,598,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,712,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,598,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Cubs | 44c | 634,770$279,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279,051.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Cubs | 45c | 566,578$253,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,805.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Brewers | 58c | 500,784$288,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,868.76 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Brewers | 56c | 479,273$267,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,791.63 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 56c | 215,000$120,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,750 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Brewers | 57c | 150,389$85,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,908.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 45c | 112,746$50,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,608.12 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Brewers | 55c | 85,816$47,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,617.01 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Brewers | 56c | 68,400$38,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,096 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cubs | 42c | 46,171$19,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,388.97 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cubs | 15c | 46,164$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,763.65 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cubs | 44c | 43,668$19,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,213.92 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.95 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 44c | 40,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.93 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 55c | 30,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 44c | 27,722$12,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,197.68 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cubs | 38c | 18,572$6,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,982.16 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cubs | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 44c | 14,767$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.68 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Brewers | 56c | 14,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 56c | 11,571$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 55c | 10,167$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.9 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Cubs | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cubs | 43c | 9,884$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.75 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Brewers | 56c | 9,276$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.33 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 23c | 7,911$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Brewers | 56c | 6,940$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.6 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brewers | 56c | 6,110$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Brewers | 55c | 6,000$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 68c | 5,915$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cubs | 45c | 5,583$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.49 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Brewers | 56c | 5,503$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 63c | 5,400$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.43 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Brewers | 56c | 4,600$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Cubs | 39c | 4,590$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Cubs | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…e891backed Cubs | 45c | 4,494$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cubs | 44c | 4,389$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.36 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 57c | 4,369$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.59 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Cubs | 44c | 3,928$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 23c | 3,833$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 35c | 3,557$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.73 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…feacbacked Brewers | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Brewers | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Brewers | 56c | 2,749$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.54 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Brewers | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Brewers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef76…eeeabacked Cubs | 45c | 2,349$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cubs | 32c | 2,165$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Cubs | 42c | 2,055$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.1 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Cubs | 45c | 2,001$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…878fbacked Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Cubs | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Brewers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,770$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Brewers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed Brewers | 57c | 1,729$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +188%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked Cubs | 44c | 1,729$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 40c | 1,523$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.73 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 68c | 1,478$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.11 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd41…127dbacked Cubs | 20c | 1,455$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Cubs | 21c | 1,364$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 54c | 1,199$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.49 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Cubs | 42c | 1,175$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Brewers | 57c | 1,157$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brewers | 69c | 1,131$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Brewers | 56c | 1,131$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…1f5bbacked Cubs | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,110$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,092$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.64 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Cubs | 44c | 1,022$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 39c | 951.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Brewers | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cubs | 29c | 892$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Cubs | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Cubs | 44c | 888$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Brewers | 56c | 884.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Brewers | 61c | 866.73$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers | 78c | 831.38$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cubs | 25c | 815.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Brewers | 69c | 806.52$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7431backed Brewers | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…7785backed Cubs | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 44c | 794$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Cubs | 44c | 769.88$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 54c | 751.57$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Cubs | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 31c | 746.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 34c | 703.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 57c | 702.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…e4c4backed Cubs | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Cubs | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Cubs | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Cubs | 41c | 669.6$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Brewersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.