TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6ef…f8c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.23
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$101.99
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$202.5
Spread: LSU (-9.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.11
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: USC (-2.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Michigan vs. USCbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-14.5)backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Tennessee (-12.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
TCU vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Iowa State (-3.5)backed Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Alabama (-3.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.93
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Spread: Houston (-14.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Spread: Fresno State (-6.5)backed Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.75
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+120.8%+$1,915
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.47
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Athletics vs. Guardiansbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$418
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$52.65
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,026
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.