College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0018e5ef030bef379b473fb20d6ffd94f93cfaebf8a668f59fd1075f87bf21d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 1,899$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Texas A&M | 47c | 1,780$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.2 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 761.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Florida Gators | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M | 47c | 316.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texas A&M | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Texas A&M | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Texas A&M | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas A&M | 46c | 189.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Texas A&M | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…6b22backed Florida Gators | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…6f6abacked Florida Gators | 55c | 72.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Gators | 51c | 40.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Florida Gators | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 30.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Florida Gators | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Texas A&M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Texas A&M | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Florida Gators | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Texas A&MTexas A&M won
- Florida Gators vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5Over won
- O/U 46.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.