College Football · resolved market
Spread: Alabama (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a39f664f7e5ade45470edb3bdb9f69064b4d05b86e89e87dcf0a933011a2d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Alabama, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Missouri | 52c | 10,560$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.3 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alabama | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri | 52c | 5,674$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Alabama | 47c | 5,353$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.91 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama | 47c | 4,810$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.6 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Missouri | 53c | 3,940$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.8 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Missouri | 52c | 1,565$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.4 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama | 47c | 1,215$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.26 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Alabama | 48c | 1,214$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Missouri | 52c | 1,067$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Alabama | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Alabama | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Alabama | 48c | 730$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…6905backed Alabama | 48c | 693.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Missouri | 49c | 638.68$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Alabama | 48c | 636.91$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.95 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Alabama | 46c | 549.71$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Missouri | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Missouri | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Alabama | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Alabama | 49c | 205.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Alabama | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Alabama | 51c | 197.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Alabama | 46c | 175.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Missouri | 49c | 151.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Missouri | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Alabama | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Alabama | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Alabama | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Alabama | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Missouri | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Alabama | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Missouri | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Alabama | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…876bbacked Alabama | 48c | 62.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Alabama | 47c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Missouri | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Missouri | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Missouri | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…fda4backed Alabama | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama (-3.5)this page
- Alabama vs. MissouriAlabama won
- O/U 51.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.