College Football · resolved market
O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b34bbd4f61b7dab5d5e5462aa52402591d98e77a8d09ddabdcefc9c32ccaf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 49c | 27,405$13,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,906.71 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 26,875$14,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,112.36 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 0c | 13,604$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 48c | 7,095$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.78 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…f063backed Over | 52c | 3,252$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.88 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 2,053$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.61 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 50c | 925.7$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.85 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Over | 50c | 675.7$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 522.82$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 495$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…bbd4backed Under | 51c | 122.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…819cbacked Over | 51c | 117.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…9e52backed Over | 51c | 110.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…022ebacked Under | 52c | 103.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 98.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 52c | 65.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 49c | 42.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…fda4backed Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Under | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 51.5this page
- Alabama vs. MissouriAlabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-3.5)Missouri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.