College Football · resolved market
Alabama vs. Missouri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3d6beb2529699bda2a20c0ad3191f5680724d3a902f3e5cdab4da2eb90f1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Alabama, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $875,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama | 62c | 190,859$117,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,460.69 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Alabama | 80c | 166,543$132,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,988.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Missouri | 38c | 105,708$40,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,420.93 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Missouri | 13c | 49,305$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.69 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Missouri | 39c | 44,149$17,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,018.21 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Missouri | 25c | 38,583$9,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.49 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Alabama | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Missouri | 38c | 23,942$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,177.87 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Missouri | 19c | 23,281$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.42 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Missouri | 40c | 20,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Missouri | 40c | 19,849$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Missouri | 18c | 18,939$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Missouri | 39c | 16,683$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.4 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri | 39c | 16,250$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.86 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Alabama | 62c | 14,448$8,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Alabama | 71c | 12,261$8,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Missouri | 24c | 10,543$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.04 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri | 7c | 10,409$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.71 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Missouri | 40c | 9,124$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.63 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Missouri | 24c | 8,443$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.09 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Missouri | 39c | 7,840$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…caeabacked Missouri | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…37e0backed Alabama | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Missouri | 39c | 6,800$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri | 39c | 6,785$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.19 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Alabama | 61c | 6,572$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Alabama | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Missouri | 40c | 6,400$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Missouri | 3c | 6,348$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Missouri | 38c | 6,202$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.93 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 60c | 6,067$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.86 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Missouri | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8948backed Missouri | 32c | 5,549$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri | 40c | 5,520$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.13 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Alabama | 62c | 5,000$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.79 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Missouri | 16c | 4,982$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Missouri | 0c | 4,655$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…e606backed Alabama | 62c | 4,345$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Missouri | 9c | 4,224$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.36 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…f3f7backed Missouri | 39c | 4,200$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Missouri | 39c | 4,100$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alabama | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Alabama | 62c | 3,785$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Alabama | 62c | 3,400$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama | 61c | 3,397$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.7 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Alabama | 60c | 3,040$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Missouri | 34c | 2,971$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Alabama | 62c | 2,900$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Alabama | 61c | 2,900$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Missouri | 35c | 2,815$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Missouri | 37c | 2,600$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Missouri | 37c | 2,423$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.81 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…2219backed Missouri | 38c | 2,237$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Missouri | 40c | 2,025$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Alabama | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Missouri | 35c | 1,884$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.62 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Alabama | 80c | 1,790$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri | 39c | 1,707$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.07 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed Missouri | 40c | 1,679$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed Alabama | 62c | 1,679$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…e35fbacked Missouri | 40c | 1,599$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Alabama | 71c | 1,588$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Alabama | 62c | 1,570$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Missouri | 1c | 1,562$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked Alabama | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…e528backed Missouri | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…de17backed Alabama | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…e4bebacked Missouri | 40c | 1,496$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…96b0backed Alabama | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alabama | 59c | 1,382$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.79 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…8229backed Alabama | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…462bbacked Alabama | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Missouri | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Missouri | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Missouri | 39c | 1,275$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Alabama | 61c | 1,245$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama | 59c | 1,241$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.67 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…0920backed Alabama | 61c | 1,196$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Alabama | 59c | 1,139$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…83c0backed Alabama | 63c | 1,127$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Alabama | 62c | 1,122$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…13febacked Alabama | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Missouri | 40c | 1,069$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Alabama | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Missouri | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Alabama | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…abb2backed Missouri | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…c950backed Missouri | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Missouri | 41c | 976.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Missouri | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Alabama | 72c | 895.16$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama | 73c | 886.97$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…4e15backed Alabama | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Alabama | 61c | 808.26$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Alabama | 63c | 790.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Missouri | 25c | 757.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Missouri | 38c | 757$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Missouri | 42c | 721.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama vs. Missourithis page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-3.5)Missouri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.