MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd1292e256b6664fe9f83097915f99b9826988cfeb5a0b462174ca3746a0f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $679,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Athletics | 43c | 170,437$73,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,145.83 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 52c | 133,647$69,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,832.3 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 42c | 120,575$50,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,819.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 58c | 115,776$67,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,111.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 44c | 30,613$13,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,290.77 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics | 42c | 19,113$8,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,085.29 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Astros | 56c | 16,071$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 57c | 15,619$8,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,938.51 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Astros | 57c | 15,456$8,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,787.47 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 37c | 14,768$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 45c | 14,727$6,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,114.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 45c | 13,883$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,666.96 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 56c | 11,589$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 63c | 11,156$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics | 46c | 10,923$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.32 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 69c | 10,663$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.99 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 58c | 10,153$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics | 43c | 10,070$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.6 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 11c | 7,682$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.92 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 61c | 7,659$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 47c | 7,040$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.16 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 46c | 6,821$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Athletics | 44c | 6,000$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.96 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Athletics | 41c | 5,025$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.75 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Astros | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 43c | 4,500$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 42c | 3,760$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Astros | 62c | 3,171$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.18 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 47c | 2,915$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.52 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…e14bbacked Astros | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 55c | 2,788$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 57c | 2,747$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Astros | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 50c | 2,580$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.09 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 63c | 2,498$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.49 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 46c | 2,237$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.59 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Athletics | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Athletics | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 55c | 1,946$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.69 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,907$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.29 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…2949backed Athletics | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Athletics | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Astros | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Astros | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,745$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.84 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 32c | 1,646$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Astros | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Athletics | 45c | 1,600$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Astros | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…67eabacked Athletics | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…032fbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…1606backed Athletics | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…0d72backed Athletics | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Astros | 55c | 1,282$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 58c | 1,267$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Athletics | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,158$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.07 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Athletics | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Athletics | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 50c | 1,056$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Astros | 56c | 1,054$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.03 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,025$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Astros | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…660ebacked Astros | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…a674backed Astros | 55c | 945$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 47c | 942.33$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Astros | 55c | 918$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 76c | 900.02$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 57c | 892.75$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Athletics | 64c | 800$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 76c | 792.12$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Athletics | 43c | 790.87$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.73 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 74c | 734.11$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astros | 57c | 734$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.38 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Astros | 58c | 715.52$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Astros | 58c | 702.4$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 57c | 697.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Astros | 3c | 632.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed Astros | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Astros | 58c | 578.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 51c | 562.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 44c | 554.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Athletics | 46c | 545$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Astros | 11c | 534.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Astros | 13c | 534$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 44c | 532.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Athletics | 43c | 509.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 59c | 509.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.