MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc5a65ff86575d2e3ce42fe9b3a40a29bb54a6fde8c43203a92b117b826765c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Twins, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Dodgers | 69c | 36,695$25,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.81 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 12c | 32,528$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,783.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 15c | 26,313$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,328.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 48c | 13,595$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.95 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Twins | 75c | 13,295$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 34c | 10,381$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Dodgers | 25c | 7,105$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.39 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 31c | 6,143$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.54 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 22c | 6,059$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.09 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 31c | 4,672$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.11 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Dodgers | 18c | 3,909$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.75 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 33c | 3,822$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dodgers | 22c | 3,746$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Dodgers | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Twins | 33c | 2,601$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 2,510$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.28 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 33c | 2,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.95 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Twins | 73c | 2,249$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.47 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Dodgers | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 32c | 2,001$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.23 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,923$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Dodgers | 21c | 1,899$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.41 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 68c | 1,875$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,583$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.55 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Dodgers | 63c | 1,476$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.38 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Twins | 67c | 1,379$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.31 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…b433backed Dodgers | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Twins | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Twins | 40c | 1,158$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.53 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,155$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 55c | 1,094$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.13 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Twins | 35c | 1,050$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Twins | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Dodgers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Twins | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.65 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Dodgers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 67c | 999.93$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Dodgers | 64c | 970$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Dodgers | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Dodgers | 27c | 890.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 43c | 816.25$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dodgers | 16c | 771.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.85 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Twins | 40c | 746.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 40c | 734$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers | 39c | 707.69$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.69 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 60c | 702.45$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Twins | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Twins | 74c | 684.22$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.64 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Dodgers | 66c | 671$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…83bbbacked Twins | 35c | 660$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…c2aebacked Twins | 35c | 660$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Twins | 74c | 653.09$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.29 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 628.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.66 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Dodgers | 67c | 589.55$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Twins | 36c | 554.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 32c | 552$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 76c | 527.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Dodgers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Dodgers | 46c | 499.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins | 32c | 410.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Dodgers | 10c | 396.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.49 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 75c | 391.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 33c | 361$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 41c | 356.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 28c | 343.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Twins | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 33c | 324.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 32c | 316.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Twins | 77c | 313.48$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 66c | 300.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 80c | 298$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Dodgers | 66c | 270.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins | 38c | 254.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 34c | 251.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Twins | 74c | 244.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Twins | 74c | 227.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Dodgers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 35c | 188.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 53c | 183.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Twins | 34c | 182.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 36c | 176.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Twins | 34c | 163$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers | 40c | 149.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Dodgers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 55c | 148.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Twins | 65c | 145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Twins | 50c | 142.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Dodgers | 71c | 140.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.