TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed White Sox34c156,872$53,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,535.426456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays66c64,047$42,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,270.9848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rays66c46,444$30,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,653.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Rays5c19,346$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.739749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rays66c15,470$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Rays10c12,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked White Sox48c10,318$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.3529240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked White Sox33c6,710$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.8353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9601,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rays66c5,790$3,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,818.6238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays53c5,050$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.6197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox26c4,443$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.282,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays67c3,650$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.4332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Rays64c2,850$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.0523545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays67c2,781$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rays21c2,665$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays11c2,475$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays66c2,269$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays17c1,900$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.281,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked White Sox18c1,220$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7721246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rays8c1,118$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6515644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox33c1,098$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox34c999.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed White Sox34c999.92$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.956550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rays3c887.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.885852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox37c844.72$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.426,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked White Sox45c823.77$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2917558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays6c810.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox53c793.27$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.34,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rays66c763$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed White Sox52c618.18$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.921,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox33c584.95$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox34c551.94$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed White Sox40c502.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed White Sox34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Rays66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox21c444$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.371,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox18c428.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.282,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed Rays66c421$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox33c409.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.11,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rays65c404$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.61,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed White Sox16c400$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33612924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed White Sox34c334.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.751968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Rays67c334.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox34c317$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Rays69c311.75$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.118153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed White Sox34c294$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0440548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked White Sox56c291.46$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.152176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox33c281.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox36c275.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.92,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays20c238.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5339436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox34c220$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox34c219.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.11,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6439…d173backed Rays67c215.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.442250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b84…49febacked White Sox34c205.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.982532%8 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed White Sox33c203.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6713843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Rays23c203.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.546038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rays52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7687…2688backed Rays79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed White Sox11c193.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.415028%14 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Rays35c174.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.244447.7%21 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox64c167.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x2127…0cb6backed White Sox35c163.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.533063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Rays66c154.55$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rays66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…ad8abacked Rays67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rays67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked White Sox54c146.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1525364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked Rays14c142.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3448…312fbacked Rays68c140.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd47e…cfd0backed Rays29c136.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b47…8df3backed Rays66c127.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.262536%9 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed White Sox34c126.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4917850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d49…fb65backed White Sox35c125.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.742860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf23a…9841backed White Sox35c121.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc2…c3d2backed White Sox35c120.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays66c114.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed White Sox35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2914649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…4e47backed Rays65c113.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.052556%14 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d6…1733backed Rays16c112.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812940.3%52 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb3…f90bbacked Rays67c107.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.162458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked White Sox37c107.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.651,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…5d94backed Rays67c102.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.612250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe035…4855backed White Sox32c101.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Rays65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rays66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…fe37backed White Sox35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Rays66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b9b…beb5backed Rays66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rays62c96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8431547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e6…e2bdbacked Rays67c95.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e30…66f2backed Rays66c95.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.922646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9c…492bbacked Rays67c91.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82e…c19cbacked Rays66c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Rays67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3558…1e67backed White Sox35c88.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.813250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox23c87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.