College Football · resolved market
Michigan vs. USC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe61d462118545d67ccd238687ae812866045d4083a5aedce03b9877f2e5079b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof Michigan, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Michigan | 41c | 60,613$25,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,051.21 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked USC | 59c | 32,358$19,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,270.13 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan | 28c | 29,553$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,351.78 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked USC | 58c | 23,884$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,983.69 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked USC | 66c | 19,984$13,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.28 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed USC | 57c | 15,023$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.48 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked USC | 56c | 12,147$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.28 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked USC | 59c | 12,096$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.36 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Michigan | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…05d3backed Michigan | 25c | 10,471$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Michigan | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed USC | 57c | 9,982$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.45 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Michigan | 41c | 8,888$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.08 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked USC | 67c | 8,035$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.91 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Michigan | 35c | 7,200$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.78 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Michigan | 43c | 7,018$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan | 25c | 5,970$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.49 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan | 25c | 5,745$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.95 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan | 41c | 5,270$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.66 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan | 43c | 5,114$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.02 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Michigan | 44c | 5,066$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed USC | 57c | 4,703$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.14 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed USC | 67c | 4,653$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.98 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Michigan | 45c | 4,484$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michigan | 25c | 4,389$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.24 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Michigan | 41c | 3,645$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.05 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked USC | 55c | 3,052$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.55 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Michigan | 30c | 2,887$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan | 16c | 2,874$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC | 71c | 2,779$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.62 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Michigan | 34c | 2,159$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC | 55c | 2,117$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.22 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed USC | 58c | 2,018$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.6 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed USC | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed USC | 67c | 1,813$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.47 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan | 42c | 1,444$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Michigan | 35c | 1,432$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan | 32c | 1,253$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked USC | 56c | 1,208$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…7bc9backed Michigan | 46c | 1,196$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed USC | 56c | 1,160$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Michigan | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan | 26c | 1,059$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Michigan | 42c | 939.13$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.43 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked USC | 61c | 846.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked USC | 60c | 784.95$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Michigan | 43c | 767.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked USC | 53c | 756.3$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed USC | 68c | 728$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC | 68c | 726.26$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Michigan | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Michigan | 41c | 635.61$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed USC | 58c | 620.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Michigan | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Michigan | 43c | 575$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked USC | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed USC | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…c950backed USC | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Michigan | 11c | 482$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Michigan | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Michigan | 42c | 470.76$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Michigan | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…4e15backed Michigan | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Michigan | 37c | 418.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Michigan | 42c | 399.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed USC | 78c | 391.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Michigan | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed USC | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed USC | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Michigan | 40c | 329$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Michigan | 32c | 314.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Michigan | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…2589backed Michigan | 43c | 295.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Michigan | 41c | 291.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed USC | 73c | 273.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed USC | 56c | 260$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed USC | 56c | 248.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Michigan | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…06d4backed Michigan | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…c97fbacked Michigan | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed USC | 58c | 234.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed Michigan | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Michigan | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan | 40c | 230.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Michigan | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Michigan | 5c | 219.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Michigan | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f8c1backed Michigan | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed USC | 78c | 211.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Michigan | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed USC | 60c | 184.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed USC | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked USC | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked USC | 59c | 175.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Michigan | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Michigan | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…9addbacked Michigan | 43c | 145.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked USC | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Michigan | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…1863backed Michigan | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan vs. USCthis page
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: USC (-2.5)USC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.