TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f7f…90c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almaty Open: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$599
Almaty Open: Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$423
Ningbo Open: McCartney Kessler vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+30%+$97.87
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Almaty Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$253
Almaty Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Corentin Moutetbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Ningbo Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$108.84
Almaty Open: Laslo Djere vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$152.88
Ningbo Open: Hanyu Guo vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$120.66
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.24
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$187
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$225.1
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Wuhan Tennis Open: Linda Noskova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$235.08
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$304.07
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Yue Yuanbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$199.85
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$394
Wuhan Tennis Open: Naomi Osaka vs Linda Noskovabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$337
Wuhan Tennis Open: Shuai Zhang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$346.87
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sofia Kenin vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+129%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$73.97
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$57.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$9.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.