College Football · resolved market
New Mexico State vs. Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9623bd7c2077f30b780f01d35b78c2fe61c976b05986bda4e266743d1086f9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof New Mexico State, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed New Mexico State | 24c | 216,802$52,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,279.31 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New Mexico State | 26c | 117,081$30,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,020.64 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Liberty | 64c | 79,949$50,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,970.07 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Liberty | 77c | 66,975$51,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.82 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Liberty | 76c | 58,937$44,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,944.94 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Liberty | 77c | 34,000$26,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liberty | 75c | 33,389$25,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,321.67 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Liberty | 78c | 30,924$24,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.38 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Liberty | 78c | 28,260$21,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,351.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty | 76c | 28,041$21,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,784.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked New Mexico State | 22c | 24,594$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.75 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Liberty | 78c | 23,369$18,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Liberty | 64c | 21,590$13,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.84 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked New Mexico State | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Liberty | 76c | 16,713$12,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.4 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Liberty | 76c | 15,009$11,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.32 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed New Mexico State | 22c | 14,880$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.59 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Liberty | 76c | 13,803$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.72 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Liberty | 79c | 13,331$10,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Liberty | 74c | 11,889$8,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.21 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Liberty | 75c | 10,156$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.74 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Liberty | 78c | 8,700$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Liberty | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State | 6c | 6,970$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Liberty | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…c1efbacked Liberty | 77c | 4,288$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…5397backed New Mexico State | 22c | 4,262$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 76c | 3,555$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.58 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed New Mexico State | 22c | 3,400$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Liberty | 51c | 3,377$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.46 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liberty | 54c | 3,025$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.56 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed New Mexico State | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Liberty | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Liberty | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Liberty | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Liberty | 77c | 2,886$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.78 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Liberty | 78c | 2,877$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Liberty | 59c | 2,529$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Liberty | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New Mexico State | 1c | 2,308$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico State | 16c | 2,140$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Liberty | 77c | 2,056$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.21 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed New Mexico State | 22c | 2,052$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.23 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Liberty | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed New Mexico State | 13c | 1,538$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Liberty | 65c | 1,454$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.16 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked New Mexico State | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed New Mexico State | 3c | 1,275$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Liberty | 76c | 1,239$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0140backed New Mexico State | 24c | 1,170$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Liberty | 77c | 1,170$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked New Mexico State | 23c | 1,144$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed New Mexico State | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 60c | 1,061$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.68 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed New Mexico State | 2c | 1,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Liberty | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…5fc8backed New Mexico State | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…7fe6backed New Mexico State | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…9a61backed New Mexico State | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Liberty | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…882ebacked Liberty | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…24c4backed Liberty | 77c | 999.42$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…d7a3backed Liberty | 78c | 997.6$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New Mexico State | 23c | 921.95$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Liberty | 78c | 843.08$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked New Mexico State | 25c | 814.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed New Mexico State | 52c | 787.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked New Mexico State | 20c | 769$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Liberty | 47c | 744.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New Mexico State | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed New Mexico State | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…5ba7backed Liberty | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Liberty | 76c | 680.69$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty | 76c | 671$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed New Mexico State | 23c | 650$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…19f7backed Liberty | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…2bb3backed Liberty | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…a990backed Liberty | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed New Mexico State | 19c | 613.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked New Mexico State | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Liberty | 76c | 596.12$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked New Mexico State | 7c | 577.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked New Mexico State | 49c | 576.04$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed New Mexico State | 22c | 524$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico State | 22c | 513$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty | 76c | 501.26$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Liberty | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Liberty | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico State | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed New Mexico State | 22c | 466.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed New Mexico State | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed New Mexico State | 23c | 410.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Liberty | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed New Mexico State | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Liberty | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 77c | 393$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Liberty | 75c | 342.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Liberty | 77c | 327.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Liberty | 76c | 307.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Liberty | 79c | 300$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State vs. Libertythis page
- New Mexico State vs. Liberty: O/U 47.5Over won
- New Mexico State vs. Liberty: O/U 48.5Over won
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty (-10.5)New Mexico State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.