Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c3a6c0ab0781b04b36d8d47fd4446d184e286e1f73a57556ce8d988cf70771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Tien, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Medvedev | 71c | 17,054$12,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.19 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Medvedev | 70c | 14,624$10,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Medvedev | 35c | 9,599$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Tien | 31c | 9,500$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.42 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Tien | 32c | 8,844$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tien | 67c | 8,110$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.06 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Medvedev | 27c | 7,398$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.86 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Tien | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tien | 26c | 6,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Tien | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Tien | 32c | 4,903$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Medvedev | 64c | 4,024$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.72 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Medvedev | 71c | 3,975$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.82 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Tien | 20c | 3,749$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.81 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Medvedev | 62c | 3,749$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Medvedev | 66c | 3,605$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.02 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Medvedev | 74c | 3,250$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.83 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tien | 16c | 3,170$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.87 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medvedev | 70c | 3,032$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.19 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Medvedev | 67c | 2,949$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.43 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Medvedev | 41c | 2,733$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev | 68c | 2,521$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.57 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Tien | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Tien | 30c | 2,452$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.94 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Medvedev | 34c | 2,391$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Tien | 34c | 2,093$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Tien | 17c | 2,024$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tien | 36c | 2,000$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.93 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tien | 79c | 1,980$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tien | 28c | 1,521$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Tien | 26c | 1,454$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Tien | 60c | 1,149$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.16 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Tien | 27c | 1,101$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Tien | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Medvedev | 60c | 940$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tien | 30c | 850.7$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Tien | 30c | 749.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Medvedev | 32c | 739$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tien | 31c | 734.29$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Tien | 27c | 702.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Medvedev | 56c | 691.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.07 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Medvedev | 44c | 683$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Tien | 44c | 664.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev | 68c | 636.4$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Tien | 26c | 626.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Medvedev | 21c | 600.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tien | 52c | 587.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.9 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…074dbacked Tien | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Medvedev | 49c | 536.89$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Medvedev | 19c | 528.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.24 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Tien | 38c | 520.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Tien | 30c | 496.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Tien | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Tien | 19c | 439.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Medvedev | 73c | 434.39$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Medvedev | 71c | 434.31$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Tien | 31c | 379.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Tien | 31c | 323.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Tien | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Medvedev | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Medvedev | 75c | 271$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Tien | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Medvedev | 71c | 237.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Tien | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev | 73c | 229$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Tien | 55c | 220.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tien | 29c | 201.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Tien | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Tien | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Medvedev | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Medvedev | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Medvedev | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tien | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…9584backed Tien | 27c | 179.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Tien | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Tien | 44c | 154.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Medvedev | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Tien | 28c | 150.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…635cbacked Medvedev | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tien | 28c | 142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Medvedev | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Medvedev | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Medvedev | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Medvedev | 42c | 124.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Tien | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Medvedev | 66c | 112.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Tien | 28c | 108.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Tien | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Medvedev | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Medvedev | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Tien | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Tien | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Medvedev | 43c | 87.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Medvedev | 44c | 87.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Tien | 32c | 86.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Medvedev | 69c | 80.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked Tien | 38c | 78.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Tien | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Medvedev | 77c | 77.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…44bcbacked Tien | 25c | 77.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.