Us Politics · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d250918ac8353e8aedd848e1c0934c0feb8ad1be05676f19414def48d4a914a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,805,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,110,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,805,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ddd…a655backed Yes | 0c | 1,154,684$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…13b8backed Yes | 0c | 815,966$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 0c | 462,169$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 0c | 310,328$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 19c | 260,887$49,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,162.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…3ae4backed Yes | 0c | 195,129$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…8734backed Yes | 0c | 155,116$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d62…06ebbacked Yes | 23c | 139,708$32,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…6197backed Yes | 0c | 128,580$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 0c | 127,250$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…3612backed Yes | 0c | 84,411$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…01f6backed Yes | 0c | 83,793$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed Yes | 0c | 79,867$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…89e0backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 0c | 72,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 0c | 70,667$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 4c | 61,580$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.98 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 60,469$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 5c | 57,540$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 52,784$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.24 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…68d0backed Yes | 0c | 52,667$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 52,378$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…73c8backed Yes | 0c | 49,933$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…00d7backed Yes | 1c | 46,846$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…ab48backed Yes | 0c | 45,512$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4424backed Yes | 0c | 42,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…c50cbacked Yes | 0c | 38,685$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 66c | 37,112$24,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,764.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…6eaabacked Yes | 0c | 31,625$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…d86bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 0c | 29,592$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…7a17backed Yes | 0c | 29,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,982$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…0b30backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…9101backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…7019backed Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…6e4dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,633$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…1a76backed Yes | 0c | 16,181$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 0c | 16,074$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 72c | 16,000$11,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 79c | 15,146$12,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…1befbacked Yes | 0c | 14,758$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 44c | 13,254$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…4c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ced6backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 3c | 10,704$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.36 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 78c | 10,620$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.67 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…83c0backed Yes | 1c | 10,573$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 1c | 10,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…8c00backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…4d3fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…36fcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Yes | 0c | 9,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…81e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,394$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…63d9backed Yes | 0c | 9,383$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 73c | 9,347$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…6fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 9,168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 1c | 9,053$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…c005backed Yes | 0c | 8,823$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…a4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 8,643$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 4c | 8,213$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.28 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…a826backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 7,309$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.91 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 1c | 7,300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.3 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…d974backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Yes | 0c | 6,718$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 78c | 6,528$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.43 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…b9e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,310$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…7975backed Yes | 0c | 6,309$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 57c | 6,306$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.69 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3e97backed Yes | 0c | 6,101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…12a5backed Yes | 0c | 6,024$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 21c | 5,975$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.4 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 58c | 5,677$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…b1d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,616$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 0c | 5,490$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed Yes | 29c | 5,431$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…021dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,007$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43da…7457backed Yes | 9c | 4,913$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0f6ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,904$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…5458backed Yes | 0c | 4,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 56c | 4,518$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0845backed No | 55c | 4,191$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 78c | 4,062$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.94 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 78c | 3,779$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.95 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…c4d3backed Yes | 37c | 3,570$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 75c | 3,400$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Yes | 0c | 3,369$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 79c | 3,116$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,994$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…8f86backed Yes | 1c | 2,963$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…01c3backed Yes | 0c | 2,947$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…3eecbacked No | 5c | 2,838$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +562.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.