Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Katerina Siniakova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f3cefe1d886cd3a8acd4f07230591e79414f5cddb16ed494a4e8795ab46609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siniakovaof Jovic, Siniakova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jovic | 34c | 4,442$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.06 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Siniakova | 63c | 3,280$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Siniakova | 61c | 2,494$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.3 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Jovic | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Siniakova | 58c | 1,444$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jovic | 24c | 1,064$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Jovic | 39c | 865.68$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.26 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Siniakova | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jovic | 37c | 726.83$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jovic | 39c | 681.16$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Siniakova | 63c | 635.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jovic | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Jovic | 40c | 500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Siniakova | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Jovic | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jovic | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jovic | 25c | 241.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Jovic | 28c | 217.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Jovic | 38c | 173.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Jovic | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jovic | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Jovic | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jovic | 41c | 105.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Jovic | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Jovic | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Siniakova | 80c | 96.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova | 61c | 95.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Siniakova | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Jovic | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Jovic | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Siniakova | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Jovic | 37c | 53.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jovic | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siniakova | 57c | 36.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Siniakova | 61c | 34.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Siniakova | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jovic | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Siniakova | 64c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.