College Football · resolved market
Iowa State vs. Cincinnati
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bee39915f4ed1160ee6898b2425c74930e8f858e467c96ae76f6b6fb914a978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnatiof Iowa State, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State | 38c | 170,106$65,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,452.86 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cincinnati | 51c | 70,583$35,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,586.41 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa State | 50c | 38,934$19,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,427.43 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Iowa State | 49c | 38,141$18,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,641.48 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Iowa State | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cincinnati | 78c | 27,132$21,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.88 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cincinnati | 55c | 20,497$11,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,210.64 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cincinnati | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.62 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cincinnati | 51c | 12,093$6,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.49 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa State | 34c | 10,719$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 9,032$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.31 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cincinnati | 49c | 8,955$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.19 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati | 80c | 8,825$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.63 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cincinnati | 52c | 8,495$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.64 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cincinnati | 50c | 8,060$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cincinnati | 51c | 6,187$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.38 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cincinnati | 79c | 5,918$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.01 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cincinnati | 50c | 4,693$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.78 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cincinnati | 55c | 4,504$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.11 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Iowa State | 47c | 4,180$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.48 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cincinnati | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Cincinnati | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cincinnati | 50c | 3,116$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.25 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa State | 20c | 2,798$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State | 22c | 2,067$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Cincinnati | 55c | 2,045$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.96 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Iowa State | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Iowa State | 49c | 2,000$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cincinnati | 52c | 1,959$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.47 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati | 53c | 1,667$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.49 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cincinnati | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Iowa State | 50c | 1,375$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.75 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Iowa State | 51c | 1,280$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa State | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cincinnati | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.71 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State | 22c | 1,063$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Cincinnati | 78c | 1,010$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cincinnati | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cincinnati | 51c | 968.29$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.06 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cincinnati | 51c | 959.07$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.94 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Cincinnati | 53c | 944.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Cincinnati | 49c | 890$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.9 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Cincinnati | 50c | 881.48$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c23dbacked Cincinnati | 49c | 800$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Cincinnati | 63c | 790.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa State | 14c | 738.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cincinnati | 49c | 736$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…6f61backed Iowa State | 14c | 706.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Iowa State | 49c | 700$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Cincinnati | 49c | 682.34$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.35 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Cincinnati | 74c | 665.87$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Cincinnati | 61c | 650.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Iowa State | 50c | 625$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cincinnati | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati | 52c | 538.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Iowa State | 23c | 520.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cincinnati | 51c | 497$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Iowa State | 22c | 458.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Iowa State | 50c | 400.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cincinnati | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cincinnati | 58c | 332.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 21c | 319.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cincinnati | 53c | 289.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Iowa State | 51c | 288.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati | 71c | 227$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Iowa State | 49c | 211.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Iowa State | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Iowa State | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Iowa State | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…7e99backed Iowa State | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Iowa State | 33c | 199.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Iowa State | 19c | 197$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Iowa State | 51c | 195.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State | 19c | 193$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Cincinnati | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Iowa State | 27c | 169.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cincinnati | 50c | 169.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Iowa State | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Iowa State | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cincinnati | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cincinnati | 50c | 130.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Iowa State | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Cincinnati | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Iowa State | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Iowa State | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Cincinnati | 76c | 111.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Iowa State | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Iowa State | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cincinnati | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Iowa State | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Iowa State | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Iowa State | 29c | 94.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Cincinnati | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…c452backed Cincinnati | 56c | 67.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Iowa State | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Iowa State | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Cincinnati | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State vs. Cincinnatithis page
- Iowa State vs. Cincinnati: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati (-1.5)Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.