TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes22c313,260$68,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,386.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No78c136,350$106,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,353650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No78c71,910$56,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,089.773748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c33,627$25,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,272.93,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No78c25,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,5009265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No76c21,550$16,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,289.0124557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No78c15,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,700757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No78c13,000$10,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,14015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc585…252dbacked Yes22c9,091$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,090.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes22c6,700$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,224.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No78c5,555$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.94553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No78c4,878$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.8827939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c4,657$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.552,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes76c3,355$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c3,105$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.1826022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No78c3,068$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.254746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No79c3,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c3,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.985269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No78c2,555$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.94854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes43c2,499$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.4820132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No46c1,737$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.279652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Yes74c1,457$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes22c1,365$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+213.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.641618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes80c1,243$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No79c1,190$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9406753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No77c1,108$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.2612955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No78c1,077$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.065650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No78c1,009$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.023444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.093522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes22c840.91$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No78c605.27$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1115151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes22c461.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.231844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261a…2989backed Yes44c456.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No51c399.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed No61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No78c319.23$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2497963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes22c300.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.321668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No55c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No80c250.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7380…8c1bbacked Yes66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.397521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes25c206.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.741010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No61c162.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.046241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes22c149.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.53938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked No79c147$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No76c125.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No80c124.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.75135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes23c99.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.986942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c98.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes20c88.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…20d8backed No80c86.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Yes43c77.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked No54c74.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c35…2003backed Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes70c64.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked No80c63.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Yes22c63.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c49…a3cebacked No62c60.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.145459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140f…5022backed No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5245…0d45backed Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes52c42.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3037926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7f…90c5backed Yes77c39.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No72c38.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.932454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…75eabacked Yes42c38.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Yes44c37.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad14…04febacked No79c36.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd144…4159backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f7…635ebacked Yes64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x625e…a0a7backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef9…3b47backed No49c25.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf3…cd8fbacked Yes45c25.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No78c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.829561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5d…d671backed No61c18.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed No77c14.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.