Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FCSB end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6216f553aa0779f11f4893e0bc7e0297ff1cdea5a03fd74010a982c12b688d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 24c | 5,093$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,098$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.64 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 76c | 3,956$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 3,399$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.44 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,793$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,060$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 1,017$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 794.66$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 719.96$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 682.74$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 25c | 422.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 25c | 371.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 329.52$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 29c | 327.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 315.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 33c | 302.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 219.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 27c | 184.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 27c | 164.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…2eabbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 32c | 94.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…99ddbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 25c | 64.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed No | 71c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FCSB end in a draw?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.