Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b8679ad6d1dd14bf49a8261a858d0ac92cbfda6907c850f9a0656eb462ce9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Musetti | 50c | 20,262$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 8,564$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.1 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 7,477$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 7,296$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.08 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Musetti | 51c | 5,051$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.71 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Musetti | 53c | 4,571$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.71 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Musetti | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 2,513$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.87 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Musetti | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.98 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 29c | 2,435$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Musetti | 29c | 2,310$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.89 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 2,000$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 1,861$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.64 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Musetti | 52c | 1,800$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.98 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 51c | 1,688$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.56 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 1,470$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.43 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 1,371$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Musetti | 51c | 1,264$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 1,119$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.53 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 1,109$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Musetti | 53c | 1,102$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.09 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Musetti | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Musetti | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 908.64$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Musetti | 30c | 899.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Musetti | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 749.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 681.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.06 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Musetti | 50c | 631.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Musetti | 52c | 619.38$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 606.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Musetti | 38c | 529.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Musetti | 29c | 523.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 507.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 438.52$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 429.73$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Musetti | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Musetti | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auger-Aliassime | 67c | 344.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 339.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Musetti | 38c | 323.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 315.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Musetti | 46c | 268.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 259$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Musetti | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Musetti | 5c | 248$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 235.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Musetti | 52c | 233.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Musetti | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…be0fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 199.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Musetti | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Musetti | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Musetti | 39c | 154.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Musetti | 49c | 135.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Musetti | 56c | 125.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 111.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Musetti | 56c | 108.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 103.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…e3a1backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Musetti | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce9…24f0backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Musetti | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 89.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Musetti | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Musetti | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Musetti | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Musetti | 52c | 75.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Musetti | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 71.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Musetti | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 56.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…da05backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Musetti | 48c | 51.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Musetti | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Musetti | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.