Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ccc89b77f1df5b74c4131dd2cdc645e79e4aa0aded9b31d251c8c235835455e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 23c | 4,255$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.39 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,683$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…1951backed Yes | 24c | 1,189$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed No | 76c | 1,080$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 79c | 935.65$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 25c | 908.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 77c | 827$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 75c | 804.87$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 738.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…bfd6backed Yes | 26c | 682.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 80c | 609.23$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 19c | 520.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 74c | 500$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 26c | 424.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed No | 78c | 354.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 338.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 24c | 333$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 75c | 235.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…18aabacked Yes | 22c | 231.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…169abacked No | 79c | 212$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…9016backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 75c | 191.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 79c | 190.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…c8ddbacked No | 72c | 189.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 75c | 167.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed Yes | 22c | 145.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 77c | 143.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked No | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 21c | 120.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 21c | 112.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked No | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…951cbacked No | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 75c | 101.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…9c32backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 21c | 93.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…4af7backed Yes | 25c | 92.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed No | 76c | 91.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…4808backed Yes | 22c | 89.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…c77abacked Yes | 29c | 87.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 71c | 86.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed No | 75c | 80.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 80c | 79.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 75.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…f55cbacked No | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 31c | 64.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d86…9caabacked Yes | 24c | 62.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1d…52f1backed Yes | 32c | 61.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed No | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 60.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…9108backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…a74fbacked Yes | 25c | 45.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…1ec9backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…891dbacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…0248backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…79adbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 66c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439e…f15dbacked No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 67c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…eff2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?this page
- Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palau" or "Paraguay" or "Hungary" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Proxy" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.