Middle East · resolved market

Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27bd97594c1d2ee3d34c0baaeb037f662fb46d60fef46201a6bc84ecf8ccc8ea

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 26, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75e7…9080backed No	4c	1,705$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.01	179	31.3%56 W · 123 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7623…2f57backed No	11c	1,034$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No	11c	700.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed No	3c	472.29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Yes	57c	358.62$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.62	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes	42c	299.99$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.75	194	28.9%56 W · 138 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c7…9c32backed Yes	53c	259.37$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.84	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	48c	203.12$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4982…0a72backed No	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4a8…84f5backed Yes	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	61c	180.91$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	312	41.7%130 W · 182 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed No	57c	175.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Yes	46c	174$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.37	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed No	42c	169.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	155	23.2%36 W · 119 L	+12.1wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No	36c	169.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	53c	140$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	178	39.9%71 W · 107 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…715fbacked No	58c	140$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed No	52c	136.42$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b8…ec46backed No	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6518…175dbacked No	45c	107$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.35	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3726…8568backed Yes	47c	106.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.23	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No	42c	103.24$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed No	54c	100.21$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	54cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	168	32.1%54 W · 114 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee69…05d0backed No	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes	51c	98.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.14	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	47c	91.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.91	181	51.9%94 W · 87 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	57c	83.93$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.28	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed No	47c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	153	31.4%48 W · 105 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	51c	67.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	46c	62.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.77	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes	48c	60.85$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	207	36.2%75 W · 132 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked No	30c	53.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	149	45%67 W · 82 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	51c	52.79$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42d8…ff9bbacked No	52c	51.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9e…70bcbacked Yes	79c	50.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe94…7bb6backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f1…0593backed Yes	45c	49.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked No	54c	49.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.71	202	47%95 W · 107 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes	44c	45.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.83	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes	79c	45.32$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	+22.6wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd383…c77abacked Yes	48c	41.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.89	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbf…f6b2backed Yes	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes	64c	38.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked No	49c	37.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	69c	35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…e1f3backed No	58c	34.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No	32c	34.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff7…87a4backed No	58c	34.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed No	52c	30.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed Yes	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b9…f44abacked No	53c	28.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	65cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0543…c839backed No	55c	27.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ff…f89bbacked Yes	46c	26.34$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.34	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+44%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad6…464cbacked Yes	78c	23.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+124.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed No	51c	19.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event