Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7b3e48e759e1ad8cc5e4b94270f228829819520c89def99470646daaddcc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 71c | 4,245$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.81 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed Yes | 55c | 2,536$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…f714backed Yes | 1c | 2,114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 47c | 2,038$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.06 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 61c | 1,923$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.43 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 49c | 1,782$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.91 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 73c | 1,347$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 36c | 1,305$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 68c | 1,162$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 50c | 1,090$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…5ea4backed Yes | 25c | 1,050$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed No | 69c | 978.94$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed Yes | 33c | 949.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 940$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…49edbacked Yes | 76c | 917.42$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 37c | 741.95$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 14c | 738.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…0ac9backed Yes | 25c | 714.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed No | 61c | 665.31$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 61c | 599.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 34c | 581.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 53c | 574.19$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 39c | 569.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9dfabacked Yes | 48c | 561.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 56c | 544.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 34c | 503.52$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 36c | 500$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 37c | 484.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 46c | 460.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 48c | 459.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 57c | 437.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 6c | 389.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…9c32backed Yes | 44c | 369.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 56c | 368.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…f5a9backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked No | 65c | 346.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 40c | 330.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…9b3fbacked No | 75c | 322.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 291$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 68c | 287.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…1398backed Yes | 47c | 244.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 66c | 230$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed Yes | 36c | 229.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 55c | 225$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…8699backed Yes | 16c | 217.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 39c | 213$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…0a72backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 12c | 198.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 59c | 197.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…c4f2backed Yes | 28c | 183.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…5a96backed Yes | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…aec0backed Yes | 40c | 177.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes | 50c | 173.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…c0d0backed Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…b4bbbacked No | 59c | 169.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…119bbacked No | 63c | 168.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 45c | 165.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…23d8backed No | 64c | 146.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 35c | 139.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…74e8backed Yes | 33c | 134.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…97e7backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Yes | 37c | 131.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c9…d719backed No | 53c | 104.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8568backed Yes | 34c | 102.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0593backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b18fbacked Yes | 48c | 99.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 30cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Yes | 33c | 92.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4400backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 40c | 84.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…b4d2backed Yes | 39c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 45c | 78.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…622bbacked Yes | 43c | 67.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?this page
- Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palau" or "Paraguay" or "Hungary" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Proxy" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.