Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbda6b0457f5ec8301c3d317a84aecf3978e11564a9fa0b53c7705c3e7cda137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 70c | 1,711$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,274$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 31c | 1,221$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 1,033$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked No | 73c | 936.23$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed Yes | 48c | 499.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 27c | 498.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 70c | 481.61$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 71c | 427.95$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed No | 68c | 401.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 29c | 375.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 30c | 371.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 70c | 338.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes | 29c | 324.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…5f1ebacked Yes | 30c | 300.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked No | 75c | 242.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed No | 71c | 241.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 27c | 229.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 72c | 205.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 30c | 173$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 30c | 150.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…97e7backed No | 68c | 148.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…aa2fbacked No | 70c | 137.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…2408backed No | 75c | 99.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 25c | 51.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb41…a14dbacked No | 72c | 46.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 30c | 43.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…272bbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…e1f3backed No | 66c | 30.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…eff2backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…0ac9backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…7da0backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…1ec9backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…79adbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…98a3backed No | 72c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…90ddbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…4ed0backed No | 72c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…b4b8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?this page
- Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palau" or "Paraguay" or "Hungary" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Proxy" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.