Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7079ed77d763a2396c0ba9669edeab54b01fcff5e98767bcd8ae4fd29d34215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 40c | 1,150$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +744.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 61c | 721.93$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed Yes | 61c | 474.23$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…fca0backed Yes | 64c | 279.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…5ea4backed Yes | 65c | 263.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 61c | 144.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 128.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…9016backed No | 30c | 102.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…74e8backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 27c | 80.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 36c | 80.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 63c | 71.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 52c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…dddcbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…b81bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4400backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…f89bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -5.2wins | -0.48per pick | 57cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?this page
- Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palau" or "Paraguay" or "Hungary" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Proxy" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.