Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bff0ef2910a0f1f6533cfbc01b2833cfcb84c7242367a6440d49c41ae4b9c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 27c | 1,130$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 27c | 1,110$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 75c | 1,108$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 72c | 998.95$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 26c | 461.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 73c | 405.37$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 25c | 391.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked No | 26c | 386.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 72c | 223$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…0a72backed Yes | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 19c | 135.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed No | 26c | 129.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 22c | 129.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 78c | 128.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 30c | 101.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…e36fbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8a…5af6backed No | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 27c | 76.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 26c | 68.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked No | 32c | 62.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked No | 33c | 46.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb791…ab57backed No | 26c | 45.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 76c | 44.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…17bbbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439e…f15dbacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 74c | 24.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…0ac9backed Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…5839backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…aec0backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…6edebacked Yes | 79c | 13.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netanyahu say "Human Shield" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?this page
- Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palau" or "Paraguay" or "Hungary" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Proxy" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No won
- Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
- Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.